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So I think of Facebook's ad opportunity not advertising on the Facebook site, but on external sites ala Google Adsense ... This will be how Facebook monetizes.
The other trend I see is that more and more social networks (and all brands) are realizing that advertising TO a consumer is so web 1.0 . We are transitioning to a world more and more where it is about interacting with your consumer, not cramming an ad down their throats.
www.twitter.com/A_F
Follo
Google Adsense is generic enough that it can basically map the entire Web. Then again, perhaps the financial gain for Facebook could be worthwhile regardless.
Allowing applications to leverage an integrated payment gateway would have a profound effect on how the application newtwork operated. It would greatly stimulate the development of new and more 'worthwile' applications.
Games and other entertainment related apps could charge mirco payments for certain features or rewards. It would stimulate a great deal more vendor type apps selling products. Online service providors could charge for thier service with subscriptions.
Games, as you mention, are prime for payments.
widgets - FB can charge advertisers, list wigdets for user viewing/adding. to lend some awareness to the widget initiative, FB could promote to users via 200 character newsfeed item "widget of the day"
Might be hard to do, given its deals with Microsoft. Microsoft isn't Facebook. One is clumsy and slow to move. The other is somewhat clumsy but quick to move. It all depends on who calls the shots when it comes to go time.
To be honest I think their ad model right now is quite good and I see a few minor improvements that could be made. Right now you can target people based on interests that they have posted on their profile. This way a band could send out an add for a new record to people who already have listed them as a favorite. Facebook should find out a way to record richer details about each person interests. I think I saw a post earlier about microsoft creating a facebook app that has people tag each other and generate rankings. This type of data would give even more value to advertisers.
Additionally advertising on facebook is only becoming more and more popular. I check facebook about twenty times a day, and over the last two months I've seen a very healthy and steady growth of advertisers. Also, I am opening a e-commerce site and whereas before I would base my launch around adwords I am now going to facebook first. There is less competition with advertisers and I have the type of product that some people may not even know they want yet so i can get in front of eyeballs that I could never get in front of using google adwords.
1. Facebook wants to be or to host the ultimate utility, powered by the social graph.
2. Facebook also wants to make lots of money.
3. What is the most lucrative utility that one can provide? - Solicited Information.
4. What type of solicited information is best provided by Facebook? - Information requested of and provided by the social graph, i.e. friends and friends' friends.
5. So what fits the bill? - Q&A
6. How might this work on Facebook? -
6.1. Slightly modify the status update feature to encourage people to ask questions and display in their friends' feeds: "X wants to know: blah, blah blah". Display relevant ads against the feed item and the comments (answers) it attracts.
6.2. Extend the partnership with Microsoft to allow users to turn their unresolved searches on Microsft's Live Search into Facebook questions.
Sorry, they have no algorithm, no patent, nothing, just a an idea that Zuckerberg ripped off and Theil, the neocon silicon valley VC, took mainstream with huge piles of money and lots, LOTS, of PR (like mashabe writing about them every second). Lets not forget Facebook's 47 million in VC funding before the MS deal, which i am sure went to infrastructure and PR (to fool everyone into thinking this thing is cool). Theil said it best, when he described people as sheep..and facebook is his grand NEOCON experiment.
So how can facebook make money? Go back to the student niche and you will be much better off financially. Lots of money in student services.