Within five years, video in mobile phones will be ubiquitous. Higher end phones will still provide realtime streaming, however it will be more than just Nokia.
With the Olympics/NBC using Silverlight for coverage this summer, Silverlight will gain prominence but will not unseat Adobe Flash on its own. Other technologies such as Apple's new product will combine to provide much more parity in the marketplace. The days of Flash embeds are numbered, though it will never disappear.
chartreuse
· 1 year ago
mobile.
everyday i see folks on the subways watching video. more importantly i see folks jealously looking at them.
sponsor based.
more and more video will not be ad based but will have one sponsor (like concerts).
niche based.
like everything else, the most successful videos will be niche based not general entertainment based.
pretty female hosts will never go out of style.
Klessblog
· 1 year ago
What do I see in the future of video? As far as video standards go for distribution across all platforms/H.264 Ãœber Alles Content distribution/Video messaging, personal branded channels and syndicated feeds will replace outmoded broadcast models. Quality/mobile video and network service optimization Video search/improved metadata, tags Tools/easy to use open source Industry/continuous mergers and aquisitions
Robert Richman
· 1 year ago
Aggregation
Players will emerge who can syndicate content on various platforms such as mobile, iphone, PC, Tivo, etc.
Hulu
...will become the next YouTube. Great quality viewing, great content. It will actually make money.
NOW
Everyone will be able to create and watch live video with ease, and the bigger players will have many channels from every city in the globe constantly providing live video feeds as windows to the world.
Ben Parr
· 1 year ago
Video is going to become a far more more interactive and personal form of communication and expression. Video blogging, both personal and corporate, is going to rapidly expand and streaming video is going to take its place as a dominate player in the markets.
Currently, we take in our video in one of two formats - well-produced TV shows/movies and short clips on YouTube. The technology for video continues to rapidly grow, though, as services like YouTube shift their focus away from innovation and towards monetization.
I really see video blogging taking off over the next few years. Gary Vaynerchuk's been very successful with Wine Library TV, but he still only has tens of thousands of viewers per episode, far less than a broadcast TV show or the most popular YouTube videos. But it just means that he, and video blogging, have TONS of room to grow as video blogging becomes more widespread. I see companies using video blogging as another step to humanize their companies beyond their blogs (just look at Scoble and Microsoft for evidence of its effectiveness). I see more bloggers incorporating video as a compliment to their written blogs as it becomes easier and cheaper to get your video online.
The other medium people are going to embrace is streaming video. I'm really fond of uStream.tv and what they're doing over at that company. Today for example, they hosted an 8-hour marathon show that raised over a million dollars for the troops. They're going to be covering the Republican National Convention - I can see thousands of bloggers and media outlets embedding the event on their own blogs and websites as they cover the event. It makes easy for a blogger to personally interact with his or her readers as well.
It's just going to be more interactive and more personal. People can already create their own online shows and gain followings. Readers can reply to blog posts via Seesmic. But the use of these awesome technologies simply isn't widespread yet, but that is going to rapidly change and an emphasis on dynamic video is going to emerge.
Justin Thurman
· 1 year ago
I see the future of video being hyperlocal. I see where every community news site is taking the place of the local television station that is not really local. Instead of people being served up a 30 minute newscast that may have some content about their community, we will provide an a la carte newscast with a short newscast of your community, a short sportscast, etc. But in the end, it will be news that you have chosen and relates to your community. I think this will happen quickly in areas that are not truly served by television right now. For instance, areas outside of a metro that only have television coverage when there is a huge event.
Ellen Serrano
· 1 year ago
It's encouraging to see your post. We launched recently with a video share button and filmstrip widget that allow readers to respond by video to news articles. Right now we're on about 100 weekly newspapers. You can see it on the Leesburg Today newspaper if you click on an article. We'll be promoting the feature in print also. It offers interesting possibilities for publishers of all sizes - Ellen at voped
GalinMD
· 1 year ago
I don't want to paint a gloomly picture...but if we can't get our ISP's in check (in the USA at least). It's not going anywhere. With Comcast and Time Warner charging per MB/GB, we're not going to realize the great potential of video over anything other then the cable & satelite network (their exact plan). Maybe, just maybe over cell networks, but that is saying that those ISP don't look over to the cable companies for ideas.
I'd love to see video become the next SMS. Just everywhere and all the time and everyone using it in an instant.
Ben Parr
· 1 year ago
I believe competition will help solve the ISP riddle. Broad wireless networks will be built that could become a great alternative to the Comcasts of the world and new technology will challenge the mindset of the quasi-monopolies these ISPs hold. Plus the government and net neutrality debate may very well keep them in check. I wouldn't worry.
On video becoming the next SMS - It's just a matter of everyone having a video camera at their computer. I don't have a camcorder, otherwise I'd be replying by video. But it limits me from replying that way via SMS (that and the fact video isn't easily "scannable" like text is).
GalinMD
· 1 year ago
Great point. I would love to see innovation in the USA include new ISP alternatives. Nothing substantial has come out of the market for several years now, and they have been slowly inching up prices without really providing that next level of service (and the price per MB/GB model is a step backwards from there).
As for the SMS=Video idea...it was more a metaphor, but you brought up a great point. Most of the amateur video I see these days it's on some nice video camera, it's cell phone video or webcam. There are now more cell phones in use today then there are people on the planet. As that technology improves, I could see everyone being a potential videographer and video becoming the next "SMS". Also, almost every computer Apple sells has a webcam built into the monitor...maybe others will follow suit and make it like having a DVD Drive or USB, just standard in the modern video using world.
Tara
· 1 year ago
As video becomes more and more accessible on the internet it is fast becoming a integral part of daily business life. Consumers have been conditioned to want things fast and easy; video fits the bill. Using the real estate market as an example, it was only a few years ago when video emerged as the technologically advanced agents tool, it is fast becoming a typical feature. In the next several years video will become so common place in the business arena to sell products, to train, to interact with consumers and to demonstrate what goes on in our world that we will not know how we did business without it. Streaming video has so many applications that have yet to be used; we are only beginning to scratch the surface.
All Comments
With the Olympics/NBC using Silverlight for coverage this summer, Silverlight will gain prominence but will not unseat Adobe Flash on its own. Other technologies such as Apple's new product will combine to provide much more parity in the marketplace. The days of Flash embeds are numbered, though it will never disappear.
everyday i see folks on the subways watching video. more importantly i see folks jealously looking at them.
sponsor based.
more and more video will not be ad based but will have one sponsor (like concerts).
niche based.
like everything else, the most successful videos will be niche based not general entertainment based.
pretty female hosts will never go out of style.
As far as video standards go for distribution across all platforms/H.264 Ãœber Alles
Content distribution/Video messaging, personal branded channels and syndicated feeds will replace outmoded broadcast models.
Quality/mobile video and network service optimization
Video search/improved metadata, tags
Tools/easy to use open source
Industry/continuous mergers and aquisitions
Players will emerge who can syndicate content on various platforms such as mobile, iphone, PC, Tivo, etc.
Hulu
...will become the next YouTube. Great quality viewing, great content. It will actually make money.
NOW
Everyone will be able to create and watch live video with ease, and the bigger players will have many channels from every city in the globe constantly providing live video feeds as windows to the world.
Currently, we take in our video in one of two formats - well-produced TV shows/movies and short clips on YouTube. The technology for video continues to rapidly grow, though, as services like YouTube shift their focus away from innovation and towards monetization.
I really see video blogging taking off over the next few years. Gary Vaynerchuk's been very successful with Wine Library TV, but he still only has tens of thousands of viewers per episode, far less than a broadcast TV show or the most popular YouTube videos. But it just means that he, and video blogging, have TONS of room to grow as video blogging becomes more widespread. I see companies using video blogging as another step to humanize their companies beyond their blogs (just look at Scoble and Microsoft for evidence of its effectiveness). I see more bloggers incorporating video as a compliment to their written blogs as it becomes easier and cheaper to get your video online.
The other medium people are going to embrace is streaming video. I'm really fond of uStream.tv and what they're doing over at that company. Today for example, they hosted an 8-hour marathon show that raised over a million dollars for the troops. They're going to be covering the Republican National Convention - I can see thousands of bloggers and media outlets embedding the event on their own blogs and websites as they cover the event. It makes easy for a blogger to personally interact with his or her readers as well.
It's just going to be more interactive and more personal. People can already create their own online shows and gain followings. Readers can reply to blog posts via Seesmic. But the use of these awesome technologies simply isn't widespread yet, but that is going to rapidly change and an emphasis on dynamic video is going to emerge.
I think this will happen quickly in areas that are not truly served by television right now. For instance, areas outside of a metro that only have television coverage when there is a huge event.
I'd love to see video become the next SMS. Just everywhere and all the time and everyone using it in an instant.
On video becoming the next SMS - It's just a matter of everyone having a video camera at their computer. I don't have a camcorder, otherwise I'd be replying by video. But it limits me from replying that way via SMS (that and the fact video isn't easily "scannable" like text is).
As for the SMS=Video idea...it was more a metaphor, but you brought up a great point. Most of the amateur video I see these days it's on some nice video camera, it's cell phone video or webcam. There are now more cell phones in use today then there are people on the planet. As that technology improves, I could see everyone being a potential videographer and video becoming the next "SMS". Also, almost every computer Apple sells has a webcam built into the monitor...maybe others will follow suit and make it like having a DVD Drive or USB, just standard in the modern video using world.