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Squidoo = walled garden
Edgeio = not so much
I'd give Edgeio at least a year before we judge it by it's traffic. It needs to spread outwards a bit more. ;)
I agree. The thing is, we see things very close up - in the bigger picture, a few months of traffic stagnation doesn't mean much. But, I do think that Squidoo is chronically misaligned right now. Edgeio is well aligned for the future, it's just that people don't "get it" yet.
--
Joe,
Actually, I find it easier to predict success than failure.
Successes (in the sense that they'll either make money or get acquired)...
Slide, Ether, Swicki (although I think they've already been in talks with MS, so maybe that's cheating), Rojo, Feedburner (obviously!), Netvibes, Last.fm (well, duh!), Tagworld (so long as they get out while they can).
In the immediate term, the biggest successes will be Last.fm and Feedburner.
--Riya
--Digg
--SixApart
--SecondLife
I am obviously conflicted in the case of that company since it is one of my investments, but that comment applies to all startups: it is unbelievably difficult to build a successful company and teams will have to go through many turnabouts, radical changes and retargetting before finding the right product/market/positionning. That's just the way it is.
~Kimberly
Squidoo's Community Organizer