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Yes Facebook will be yesterday's trend sometime soon. It's not really a valuable resource and certainly isnt worth a premium. In fact I predict that Facebook is nothing but a distant memory in 3 years and that in 10 years people will study Zuckerberg's folly (not selling for a quick billion) in biz school.
Remember GeoCities? Please tell me the difference between GeoCities and Facebook?
Users are uniquely identified by a combination of the environment domain and user id (only unique to domain).
Basically, this means that 99.9% of OpenSocial apps will consider you to be a different user for each domain you install the app.
If I install an app on MySpace and spend the time to personalize it, I should not have to repeat the process when I install the same app on Hi5.
OpenSocial = Weak platform w/ too much hype!
That doesn't even mean that the *development* of facebook apps has slowed down, much less application usage. Over time, it makes sense that as more questions are asked and answered, less people need to post new questions.
Also, once someone has finished developing and deploying their app, there's less of a need to visit the forums. The study could very well indicate that facebook's app platform is simply maturing.
Facebook would have been better served by creating more group options rather than opening the network to useless applications that spam users and clutter profile pages.
checkout tribe.net
I think facebook went to crazy with the apps. The profiles are really lacking any personal style. i'm not suggesting myspace hacking ability but a background or color change would be nice.
The iphone interface is all I really use for facebook. Its simple and just shows messages and friend updates without vampires and poking.
Oh, and integration with mobile like we've never seen before. It'd be nice to know which of my friends was in New York when I arrived with a few presses on my phone.
Facebook can no longer be a portal for E-commerce b/c it is a junkyard of poorly excuted side project programs... that's what people are frustrated with. Once you lower the bar of your brand it's hard to come back as a serious player. They are highly overvalued for the paltry $100 million in ad revenues.
On a final note, I deleted my account 3 months ago and it took 6 emails for them to finally let me go. I'd like to see how much future revenue Facebook plans to make off of each user. That'd be an interesting study b/c right now they are just wasting away resources.
Zuckerborg made interesting points about OpenSocial not providing the dream alternative to FB. Frustration over this need to enter and reenter data on a variety of sites is legit. Scoble talked about it in the May print issue of Fast Company. Perhaps OpenID will help in facilitating one online profile that can be used in many places. I look forward to promoting it on my blog.
Next.
But as people try to use these sites for productive interaction, which everyone is trying to do, things begin to break down. There are fundamental issues with single context interaction, and the "because joe is my friend, feed me what joe is doing" metaphor.
Check us out...we're doing things differently. www.zloop.com
1.) if you don't like it, don't use it. save your brain space for something thats important to you. whining about websites doesnt count.
2.) a lifetime of your personal and social data will be fascinating to search, browse, and otherwise navigate 20, 30, 50, and even hundreds of years from now.
though facebook may or may not 'win', aggregating and filtering one's social data over a lifetime will.
if you dont like it, unplug now.
kthxbai :)
As the early apps quietly fade into the background, professionals will take the platform to the next level.
Javascript once upon a time was thought of as a waste of time and javascript programmers were not in high demand. Ask Google if that is still true. :)
I am writing a couple of very useful Facebook apps that will fully take advantage of the platform without being spammy. :)
Remember that you can remove even built-in applications from your profile if they become too much.
WebLogic license revenue ramped up to 750MM annualized in the next 18 months, and kept BEA from going out of business.
Sometimes we have to step back and realize that use 15th level social media gurus are the exception not the rule. It was just this week that I read a post on ReadWriteWeb that said 3/4 of US Social Network Traffic is still on MySpace. We aren't the norm we are the elite so let's not get too far ahead of ourselves here.
http://www.readwriteweb.com/archives/hitwise_so...
Then you get a ton of requests every single day so that's a piss off factor. Facebook became less about actually socializing with people and more about sending apps to people, free gifts, poking and it created this almost anti-social environment to where instead of talking to someone you were poking them.
People have a ton of friends on the friends list which some of whom they don't talk to and that is where it can be similar to Myspace.
Facebook was supposed to be for people you already knew or used to know and maybe people you'd like to be introduced to. Facebook has taken their product, twisted and warped it then making it this complex being where all people wanna do once in awhile is write on someone's wall and you have to scroll 5 times just to get there.
There are apps that don't even work properly yet they are still allowed to remain on Facebook therefore watering down the quality of the site in general.
SIMPLIFICATION! If people have to search and sort through stuff just to find what they are looking for chances are they'll just give up and go somewhere else.
If you don't like the applications -- CHANGE YOUR PRIVACY SETTINGS.
It's not that hard. Facebook has spent A LOT of time and energy to make sure that nearly every action that can be done on Facebook can be either ignored indefinitely or banned, by editing privacy controls.
Can Myspace say that?
NO.
Myspace can say that they have put CAPTCHAs on nearly every action in effort to combat spam bots -- I think I would rather edit privacy settings than enter a CAPTCHA everytime I want to post on a friends wall.
If you hate the applications... goto your privacy controls and "ignore all". It's really that easy.
I challenge ALL OF YOU to find a social network with more privacy customization.
I must say that aside from the "protection money" pricing scheme, e.g you pay to have really annoying features turned off,it works great.
Hey I say start your own and then you can see who really gives a hoot about your life/cause/business/aspirations.
That said, we also have an EchoChief.com group on Facebook. Social groups on the net are always going to be fractured, its a land grab and the providers are trying to heard you and me.
That is what we like about Ning, build your own and those who may not like other sites will come.
Tim Thigpen
Editor
EchoChief.com
I had both of my accounts disabled. Facebook should wake up and listen to the masses, otherwise the abortion of a company that run it, will soon go bust - hopefully.
It is bloody stupid and naive for Facebook to think that everyone is a good guy on the planet and that everybody will be totally honest.
It is even stupidier of Facebook to think that they are safe from Spammers. I had an alarming increase in people offering me millions of dollars (419'ers),
shortly after I joined Facebook. This was all logged and carefully sifted.
Is Facebook not aware that spammers use "Dictionary Attacks" to find names and email addresses.
I wonder how keen Facebook would be to xcompensate me if somebody ran up a huge debt using my name.
Somehow I do not think they would care less.
Facebook will just stick to their bloody stupid rule of "No Nicknames". It almost feels like they are working with the authorities to somehow catch people out.
In practice this means that the authorities do not like hard work, so they just get Facebook to do it for them, who then just imply enforce a stupid rule, for the sake of having a stupid rule.
Myspace I believe does allow nicknames, so of course this one will win the battle in the end I reckon.
Plus why the hell should I put my real name all over the net for anyone to see - No thanks.
Get lost - Facebook, you are not liked or wanted.
John W.