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Cheers,
Doug
Even if the $10 Million figure sounds completely outrageous to a potential acquirer, it will be used as a reference point in negotiations.
The number is now set in their subconscious.
Of course, I have to agree with other comments that they'd be idiots not to take a $10M offer, but it doesn't mean they can't try to artificially increase their value by changing people's perceptions.
I recently had a conversation with a director level person at Facebook about this very thing (not the SuperWall in particular, but about third party app development and the ability for Facebook to not just duplicate, but build a better mouse-trap and squash these types of applications). The gist of the conversation was this guy telling me that Facebook is not in the business of duplicating 3rd party apps – they truly consider themselves platform developers. Furthermore, Facebook would only consider duplicating a third party app if it enhanced the entire platform. For example, Facebook offers the ability to submit pictures from a cameraphone to a user profile. There are third parties that offer this functionality on the Facebook platform already (my company will offer this soon too, in combination with other features). But this particular feature is offered by Facebook directly because it enhances the photo galleries for the entire platform, allowing all Facebook and third party developers to access the cameraphone pictures. If this remained a stand-alone third party application, cameraphone photos would exist in the silo of a third-party service.
I am not purporting to take this all at face value, but thought relaying the conversation was valuable.
Once Facebook is a public company (or owned by one) the pressure will be on to monetize to the max, and "building a better mouse trap" is one of the most obvious and easiest ways to do it.
http://vidsonly.blogspot.com
John thanks for the info, that sounds like a great conversation you had. Either way, I'm goign to have to disagree with the ever commenting phenom. The platform is what makes the company not the individual side apps. By your logic I could create my own app that says, "Hi I'm Adam Hirsch" and that would be worth $10 million? If so, I'm down for making that app work.
Anyway, Andrew has the best point, these guys are all about setting precedent. However, I really doubt that companies are out there on the hunt for Facebook Apps with that much cash. However, the precendent has been set, so I'm excited to see what happens...
- Adam Hirsch, Mashable