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That's a good point. I personally would love to see a study done on WHY Myspace has fallen the way it has. I personally won't give up on it...it could make a turnaround...but we'll have to wait and see
I use Facebook, and nobody bothers me. It has a much more genuine element to it.
Facebook dominates.
Own a vertical, the biggest kid rarely is the strongest.
MySpace has really become the "VHS" vs "DVD" of social communities. It isn't keeping up with any of it's social network competitors. It does however try to incorporate more complex networks and social groupings, but their attempt is just that. An attempt.
Wishing them luck, but I'm gonna still try to avoid visiting them due to my disinterest in their obsolete form of communication.
J.
Facebook, is still the easily the best in my opinion.
I would have like to seen some comparison, and maybe get an idea of where is all these people going..
Maybe this also is a signal to other Social Media channels that you have to be able to adapt to be current. If you chose not to listen, well there is others just waiting to grasp the hordes...
Cheers.. Are
I generally agree - it's a train wreck over there and the recent shedding staff isn't going to save them. However, I don't know that I'd say an increase of 1/2 million is an acceleration at this point. It could be chalked that up to margin of error and you could have been a bit less sensationalist in the title. That aside I wanted to make 2 points.
First, Like their methodology or not - the Alexa graphs for Page View and Reach paint a much bleaker picture. The graphs shows a steady linear decline starting Summer 2008. The graph is worth taking a look at: http://www.alexa.com/siteinfo/myspace.com (open it up to max)
Second, I believe that had MySpace been more open with support of third party applications early on, moving from less restrictive to more restrictive as Facebook did, they would have gotten similar initial adoption and garnered buzz as Facebook has (and continues to do). They could have single handedly make OpenSocial a giant success in the US.
Erik
http://rule4081.wordpress.com/2009/10/09/3-thin...
Look at the atrocity that is their new "Event" system. I help run a profile weekly event for a club in Miami. We and every other event profile STILL to this day uses the old event system.
You can't even post links or images. What kind of stupidity is that?
And they still refuse to listen to their users.
Interface: MySpace delivers the ability to create a much more unique and personal statement than Facebook. Myspace is infinitely flexible, where Facebook really only allows adjustments to content. That said, my personal MySpace page is a bit of a mess, and I'm a professional. its a huge window into what people value.
Group Interactions: Facebook really gets this right. My Space by contrast is distractingly open and lacking in structure.
It's become apparent that success in social media it less about building an application platform and much more about connecting with good friends. Simplicity and clarity seem to be valued by the majority of users. The Facebook applications platform did mark the beginning of huge growth for the network, but it seems to have been a catalyst.
Perhaps the most interesting idea here is that until recently, first to market advantage was practically unsurmountable. This has proven to no longer be true - many times. Anything can happen.
1. "MySpace’s U.S. Traffic Falls Off a Cliff": Let's note that the graph you present does not display zero. Though MySpace has indeed lost many "unique visitors", both in raw count, and as a proportion of recent traffic, your graph does not show how far it has to fall before it hits the true bottom of "none".
2. "MySpace’s downfall is accelerating" / "I don’t think I have to tell you what will happen if this trend continues.": This is based on the most recent 3 months' worth of data. I wonder what your analysis would have been, if the previous 3 months (March through June) had been examined? "Accelerating upward trend"?
3. You have chosen to focus on "Unique Visitors". Whether this or some other measure best reflects MySpace's performance is an open question. Perhaps a "unique visitor" who returns several times in a given month is of greater interest?
Don't get me wrong: Having used both MySpace and FaceBook, my suspicion has long been that FaceBook had systematic advantages over MySpace. Though the data is certainly not sunny, I just think you're wringing more from the data you've presented than is really there.
There just isn't any excitement behind MySpace any more. I *want* to try new Twitter clients, I *want* to try new features that Facebook roll out. I couldn't give a crap what MySpace do, and it seems that a lot of people are starting to think that way.
I agree that Myspace is mostly relevant now for band exposure, but I don't think it will be much longer that Facebook integrates a good music interface and all the bands will jump onto Facebook knowing it's really the more popular site thus sending Myspace to it's final grave.
Google watching closely (it should).
I personally like Myspace's chances. The current micro blogging trends of today will subside or shift into something else entirely which at this point, i'm not quite sure what that is yet but it will change. Myspace strong point is music and will continue to be so. and as long as people can relate to good, classic-hitting tracks from unbelievably talented artist then I believe Myspace in the long run will win out.